Each local authority in England is responsible for its own school forecasting. This is done by using similar demographic data,…
Tameside Metropolitan Borough Council is a user of Edge Analytics’ edge-ucate school place planning software, which provides a comprehensive forecasting and reporting capability for mainstream schools, planning areas, wards and towns in Tameside.
A key component of the edge-ucate model is primary and secondary pupil product ratios (PPRs), which are applied to housing growth forecasts to derive an associated pupil yield.
Tameside Metropolitan Borough Council identified a requirement for the derivation of new pupil yield evidence, for inclusion in the edge-ucate model and to support wider strategic decision making.
Edge Analytics used property statistics and school census data to identify the pupil impact of a sample of new housing development sites across Tameside. Using additional evidence, relating to housing type, tenure and home movers, Edge Analytics derived a range of pupil yield assumptions for the alternative site categories.
Alongside this analysis, Edge Analytics used POPGROUP technology to produce a population forecast for wards in Tameside, providing an alternative perspective on pupil yield expectations linked to planned new housing.
A report was provided to Tameside Metropolitan Borough Council, summarising the evidence for each site and providing recommendations as to how the Council could use primary and secondary PPR evidence to inform its pupil forecasts.