Each local authority in England is responsible for its own school forecasting. This is done by using similar demographic data,…
As part of its SEND 2020 initiative and in response to the legislative requirements of the Children and Families Act 2014, Surrey County Council commissioned a reporting and forecasting capability to support the delivery of services for children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND).
The system was required to present the latest available evidence on SEND need and provision, and to provide an insight into how the balance between the two may vary in line with future demographic change.
Edge Analytics configured its edge-ucate SEND system for Surrey, providing a desktop reporting and forecasting capability for the Council’s SEND services, districts and education planning quadrants.
To configure the edge-ucate SEND model, Edge Analytics worked with Surrey County Council to compile a database of historical evidence on SEND pupils and services
To provide a basis for the estimation of future SEND need, Edge Analytics used POPGROUP demographic forecasting technology to apply a profile of SEND incidence to a population projection for districts in Surrey.
Included in the edge-ucate SEND reports are additional statistics relating to the containment and average distance travelled by SEND pupils. In addition, SEND pupils are matched to the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) to provide a profile of SEND need by deprivation decile.
Edge Analytics continues to support Surrey County Council, providing technical guidance and an annual update of the data inputs and assumptions used by the edge-ucate SEND model.