Schools Forecasting

As demographic and socio-economic forces continue to shape the distribution and profile of the UK’s population, an increasingly critical component of national and local policy and planning is the delivery of appropriate education services. Understanding the current and future composition of the school-age population is a fundamental requirement of this process.

Whilst national projections inform national strategies for education provision, local authorities are responsible for the development of their own intelligence to support the most effective delivery of education services. The Department for Education has provided guidelines on how pupil forecasts should be developed but there is no single methodology that is consistently employed by UK local authorities. A variety of approaches have been used, typically based upon common data sources within the DfE recommended framework, but modified to meet local differences and developed using different technology and local expertise.

edge-ucate For Pupil Forecasting

edge-ucate provides a robust and transparent model to support education planning in local communities. Using desk-top technology, edge-ucate combines data from the School Census and local GP registration statistics, to provide a pupil forecast for individual schools and for local community areas.

edge-ucate enables alternative growth scenarios to be assessed, taking account of migration factors, new housing development, plus school openings and closures.

Output is provided in summary and with full detail, to enable analysis and planning for whatever cluster of schools or geographical areas is appropriate.

edge-ucate can be linked to POPGROUP demographic forecasts to both enable longer-term planning horizons to be evaluated and to ensure a consistent methodology is applied to all aspects of service planning. edge-ucate provides users with a technical support help-line to ensure the most effective use of the model and to facilitate the sharing of ideas and experiences between users.

edge-ucate SEND provides a desktop planning system for the assessment of the current and future profile of pupils with special educational needs and disabilities.

Edge Analytics has developed a detailed process for deriving pupil yield factors; a crucial requirement in accurate school place planning.